Match Info

KENYA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Muhoroni Youth		Tusker

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.42
	7.48	3.94	1.41
	7	3.9	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.16 ↑ (6.79)	3.95 ↑ (3.75)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muhoroni Youth
12.7%

Draw
23.1%

Tusker
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

24.2%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2%

24%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muhoroni Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhoroni Youth than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 3).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Muhoroni have a series of guest games.

In this match Tusker is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Muhoroni won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Muhoroni won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muhoroni Youth
Kenyan Premier League
18.02.24	Sofapaka - Muhoroni Youth	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Muhoroni Youth	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Kenya CB - Muhoroni Youth	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Muhoroni Youth - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Shabana - Muhoroni Youth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TTTLW
- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
18.02.24	Tusker - Kenya CB	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Shabana - Tusker	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Tusker - Bidco United	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Gor Mahia - Tusker	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Tusker - Sofapaka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
23.09.23	Tusker - Muhoroni Youth	1:0
15.10.17	Tusker - Muhoroni Youth	4:0
29.04.17	Muhoroni Youth - Tusker	0:1
23.09.16	Tusker - Muhoroni Youth	2:1
02.10.15	Tusker - Muhoroni Youth	2:3

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