The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Municipal 76.6%
Draw 15.9%
Aurora 7.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
74.3%
17.5%
8.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Municipal - Aurora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Navarro K. (G) 24. Cabeza A. 31. Calderon C. 19. Hernandez C. 32. Lopez E. 3. Mena J. 92. Mendez J. 16. Morales J. 7. Munoz R. 43. Perez Y. Y. 4. Samayoa N.
22. Sanchez L. (G) 17. Bajan D. 2. Cardona L. 6. Garcia A. 11. Ibarguen E. 10. Lovato N. 80. Mingorance P. 4. Monterroso C. 9. Ruiz D. 30. Soriano B. 20. Vivas J.
Substitutes
10. Altan P. 20. Archila C. 26. Barrientos R. 52. David A. 18. Franco J. 1. Linares B. (G) 5. Matos Y. 8. Saravia R. 14. Torres D.
27. Arevalo J. 49. Campos G. 25. Diaz A. 53. Gomez D. 7. Motta P. 1. Navas D. (G) 3. Soriano J. 28. Ticuru J. 31. Urias V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Lopez E. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Mena J. ⚽,
29', Vivas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Mingorance P. ⚽,
51', Garcia A. 🟨,
56', Hernandez C. ↓, Barrientos R. ↑,
65', Lopez E. ↓, Altan P. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Mena J. ⚽,
79', Ibarguen E. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
79', Lovato N. ↓, Ticuru J. ↑,
79', Ruiz D. ↓, Motta P. ↑,
87', Mendez J. ↓, Archila C. ↑,
87', Cabeza A. ↓, Matos Y. ↑,
87', Munoz R. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Mena J. ⚽,
90+2', Vivas J. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Municipal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Municipal is the obvious favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Municipal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Municipal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.