The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobán Imperial 31.9%
Draw 29.3%
Municipal 38.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.8%
28.7%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
29.2%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobán Imperial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobán Imperial than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Cobán Imperial - Municipal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Casas T. (G) 22. Aldana B. 17. Cabrera A. 14. De Leon L. 12. Ical A. 21. Leal Ramirez B. J. 11. Moreira M. 18. Rosas L. 16. Soto E. . Teni S. 77. Winter J.
12. Navarro K. (G) 11. Bantes J. 26. Barrientos R. 31. Calderon C. 52. David A. 17. Elington E. 14. Franco J. 19. Hernandez C. 92. Mendez J. 16. Morales J. 4. Samayoa N.
Substitutes
8. Alvarez Y. . Amaral U. 80. Amaya W. 10. Calabrese B. 20. Paredes S. 23. Romero J. (G) 32. Sandoval J. 19. Valdez K. 9. Winter C.
10. Altan P. 33. Cabeza A. 13. Estrada C. 1. Linares B. (G) 32. Lopez E. 9. Martinez J. 7. Munoz R. 43. Perez Y. Y. 8. Saravia R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Cabrera A. 🟨,
10', Ical A. 🟨,
13', Samayoa N. 🟨,
34', Bantes J. 🟨,
40', Hernandez C. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Moreira M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ical A. ↓, Paredes S. ↑,
46', Rosas L. ↓, Alvarez Y. ↑,
46', Hernandez C. ↓, Altan P. ↑,
46', Elington E. ↓, Munoz R. ↑,
46', Bantes J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
61', Winter J. ↓, Amaral U. ↑,
67', Samayoa N. ↓, Perez Y. Y. ↑,
76', Barrientos R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
79', Aldana B. ↓, Amaya W. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Paredes S. ⚽,
87', Moreira M. ↓, Valdez K. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 1, Altan P. ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 11th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobán Imperial won 0.
Cobán Imperial has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Municipal is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cobán Imperial could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cobán Imperial has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:26 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cobán Imperial against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:8 goals (averaging 0.9:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Municipal
16
7
6
3
20:11
9
27
9
Coban Imperial
17
6
4
7
24:26
-2
22
Last Results with these Odds
Municipal - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.53%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Casas T. (G) 
Aldana B. 
David A. 
Amaral U. 
Cabeza A. 
Lopez E. 
Perez Y. Y. 
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