Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera (Guatemala City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Municipal		Xelajú

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.00	5.50
	1.45	3.75	6.00
	1.52	3.98	5.91
	1.45	4.31	6.72	Watch
	1.50	3.90	5.85
	1.46	3.84	6.41	Watch
	1.45	3.90	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	3.95 ↑ (3.78)	6.03 ↓ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal
61.9%

Draw
23%

Xelajú
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.7%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

22.7%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Municipal - Xelajú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Navarro K. (G) 23. Aguilar C. 10. Altan P. 20. Archila C. 11. Bantes J. 26. Barrientos R. 13. Estrada C. 14. Franco J. 7. Munoz R. 43. Perez Y. Y. 5. Raymundo C.	98. Sican E. (G) 52. Aparicio J. 23. Calderon R. 6. de Leon M. 12. Gonzalez E. 4. Hernandez M. 70. Jaen Y. 21. Lopez A. 5. Monreal E. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. 25. Ruiz K.
Substitutes
21. Baltazar Y. 52. David A. 17. Elington E. 19. Hernandez C. 99. Japa E. 1. Linares B. (G) 32. Lopez E. 16. Morales J. 4. Samayoa N.	89. Alvarez M. (G) 11. Cardenas S. 26. Cardoza E. 29. Casas D. 14. Gonzalez J. 10. Lopez A. 24. Marquez R. 71. Mejia O. 8. Ubico J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Franco J. ⚽,
27', Perez Y. Y. 🟨,
41', Calderon R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', de Leon M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
46', Calderon R. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
46', Raymundo C. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
55', 🟨,
62', Hernandez M. ↓, Mejia O. ↑,
72', Monreal E. 🟨,
72', Jaen Y. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Archila C. ⚽,
82', Altan P. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
82', Bantes J. ↓, Japa E. ↑,
83', 🟨,
84', Perez Y. Y. ↓, David A. ↑,
88', Munoz R. ↓, Elington E. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal won 3.

Municipal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Xelajú's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Xelajú may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Municipal has had a series of away games.

In this match, Municipal is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Municipal won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Municipal won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Municipal	10	7	2	1	16:5	11	23
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Municipal
CONCACAF Central American Cup
19.08.26	CD FAS - Municipal	1:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.08.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Municipal - Cobán Imperial	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
06.08.26	Verdes - Municipal	0:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.08.26	Marquense - Municipal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWW
- Club Xelajú
CONCACAF Central American Cup
18.08.26	Xelajú - Diriangén	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Plaza Amador - Xelajú	5:2 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
07.08.26	Malacateco - Xelajú	2:2 ✺
03.08.26	Xelajú - Aurora	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
29.07.26	Alajuelense - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.05.26	Xelajú - Municipal	1:2
16.05.26	Municipal - Xelajú	4:1
19.03.26	Xelajú - Municipal	3:1
28.01.26	Municipal - Xelajú	1:0
02.11.25	Xelajú - Municipal	1:1
23.08.25	Municipal - Xelajú	1:1
29.03.25	Municipal - Xelajú	1:0

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