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Current Win Probability
Municipal 73.8%
Draw 17.2%
Marquense 9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.5%
20.7%
12.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.7%
19.7%
12.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Municipal's performance.
Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Municipal - Marquense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Navarro K. (G) 11. Bantes J. 13. Estrada C. 19. Hernandez C. 32. Lopez E. 92. Mendez J. 16. Morales J. (C) 7. Munoz R. 43. Perez Y. Y. 5. Raymundo C. 4. Samayoa N.
1. Gutierrez G. (G) 6. Cano J. 17. Chuc D. 2. Corado Ruano R. E. 19. Escalante F. 79. Linton O. 24. Lopez C. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 18. Sanchez E. 66. Santos C. 5. Vasquez E.
Substitutes
10. Altan P. 20. Archila C. 26. Barrientos R. 31. Calderon C. 52. David A. 14. Franco J. 1. Linares B. (G) 9. Martinez J. 8. Saravia R.
13. Cifuentes J. (G) 30. de L. B. . de Leon C. 20. Gordillo G. 70. Hernandez Y. 91. Matta A. 11. Ochaeta D. 99. Rodas M. 8. Velasquez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Bantes J. ⚽,
25', 🟨,
33', Munoz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ramirez K. G. A. ↓, Ochaeta D. ↑,
46', Cano J. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
46', Vasquez E. ↓, Gordillo G. ↑,
51', Santos C. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Santos C. ⚽,
60', Escalante F. ↓, Matta A. ↑,
61', Linton O. 🟨,
64', Munoz R. ↓, Altan P. ↑,
64', Raymundo C. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
73', Mendez J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
79', Sanchez E. ↓, Velasquez E. ↑,
87', Hernandez C. ↓, Archila C. ↑,
87', Bantes J. ↓, Barrientos R. ↑,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 4th in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal won 5.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Municipal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Municipal as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Municipal has recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:8 (averaging 1.6:0.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Municipal against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 15:2 goals (averaging 1.5:0.2 per game).
Mexico
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Navarro K. (G) 
Hernandez C. 
Lopez E. 
Perez Y. Y. 
Gutierrez G. (G) 
Linton O. 
David A. 
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