Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Winners - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Independencia (Estelí)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Real Estelí		Municipal Jalapa

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	5.5
	1.37	4.15	7.1	Watch
	1.41	3.95	9.53
	1.45	3.77	8.91	Watch
	1.33	4.5	7.5
	1.43	4.16	7.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.24)	4.14 ↓ (5.51)	7.74 ↓ (9.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Estelí
65.8%

Draw
22.3%

Municipal Jalapa
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.9%

16.6%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Estelí's form might have worsened.

Municipal Jalapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. ⚽,
5', 2 - 0, Casado E. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Villalobos O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 3 - 1, Morinigo N. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 2.

Real Estelí is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jalapa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jalapa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jalapa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real Estelí is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Estelí won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:6. (average 3.1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Esteli	10	5	3	2	17:7	10	18
9	Jalapa	10	1	2	7	6:16	-10	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
02.05.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Real Estelí - Matagalpa	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	3:2 ✺
15.04.26	Real Estelí - Walter Ferretti	2:4 ✺
11.04.26	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLL
- ART Municipal Jalapa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
02.05.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Municipal Jalapa - Walter Ferretti	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Municipal Jalapa - Walter Ferretti	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Rancho Santana - Municipal Jalapa	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Madriz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
02.05.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	0:0
05.03.26	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	2:1
01.02.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	2:2
19.10.25	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	1:1
26.07.25	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	4:2
06.11.24	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	5:1
27.01.24	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	2:0

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