The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Municipal Liberia 49.2%
Draw 28.4%
San Carlos 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
27.1%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
26.3%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal Liberia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Municipal Liberia - San Carlos Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Municipal Liberia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). San Carlos will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Municipal Liberia: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Municipal Liberia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Monreal A. (G) 27. Chevez A. 16. Hernandez A. 22. Hudson A. 30. Huertas J. 7. Johnson S. 5. Molina Y. 15. Reyes C. 4. Rios J. 42. Ruiz J. 11. Torres E.
1. Gonzalez M. (G) 22. Aguero J. 18. Aguilar J. 16. Castillo G. 11. Cordoba R. 17. Evans J. 9. Martinez B. 5. Martinez C. 6. Piedra Y. 20. Rivera R. 26. Rojas O.
Substitutes
32. Castrillo J. (G) 38. Chal J. 28. Darcia C. 24. Francis W. 25. Garcia A. 84. Gutierrez Y. 10. Hernandez Y. 21. Orellano L. 71. Rodriguez D. 12. Zuniga F.
15. Calvo A. 10. Cerdas K. 4. Fonseca P. 7. Guevara A. 30. Masis D. 19. McDonald J. 12. Sanchez D. 70. Solano C. 23. Vega J. (G) 21. Venegas J.
Coaches
Cardozo J.
Centeno W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
10', Johnson S. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Torres E. ⚽,
26', Piedra Y. 🟨,
31', Evans J. ↓, Venegas J. ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Aguilar J. ⚽,
44', Piedra Y. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Torres E. ⚽,
45+4', 3 - 1, Hudson A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Reyes C. 🟨,
57', Aguilar J. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
57', Rojas O. ↓, Cerdas K. ↑,
59', 4 - 1, Ruiz J. ⚽,
62', 5 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
68', Martinez B. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
68', Rivera R. ↓, Fonseca P. ↑,
79', Ruiz J. ↓, Francis W. ↑,
79', Hernandez A. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
89', Torres E. ↓, Darcia C. ↑,
89', Reyes C. ↓, Chal J. ↑,
89', Johnson S. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 2.
Municipal Liberia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
San Carlos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Municipal Liberia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Municipal Liberia is considered a favorite.
We predict that Municipal Liberia will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Liberia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
San Carlos
9
5
0
4
8:9
-1
15
Last Results with these Odds
Municipal Liberia - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.68%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.