Match Info

COSTA RICA: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 21

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno (Liberia)


	Municipal Liberia		Municipal Grecia

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	8
	1.22	5.75	8.75
	1.22	6	11	Watch
	1.23	5.67	9.55
	1.21	5.67	9.55
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.21	5.87	10.1	Watch
	1.22	6	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.52)	5.62 ↑ (4.24)	8.91 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Liberia
73.3%

Draw
16.4%

Municipal Grecia
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

22%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

21.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Liberia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Municipal Liberia's performance.

Municipal Grecia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Municipal Grecia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Municipal Liberia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Grecia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Municipal Grecia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Municipal Liberia - Municipal Grecia Predictions

Users Predictions: Municipal Liberia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Villegas D. (G) 3. Pinar F. 98. Gomez I. 15. Reyes C. (C) 2. Mosquera E. 10. Angulo M. 24. Francis W. 20. Pilone M. 22. Ramirez F. 8. Madrigal D. 26. Colindres D.	51. Sanchez L. (G) 4. Noya R. (C) 25. Sanchez J. 5. Gutierrez K. 22. Aguero J. 29. Ramirez E. 16. Rivera Stuart J. 77. Roman S. 10. Cole K. 8. Arauz A. 21. Ortiz J.
Substitutes
5. Aguilar A. 99. Caicedo J. F. 7. Escoe M. 13. Matarrita J. 55. Nunez R. 9. Rojas B. 12. Ruiz E. (G)	32. Castro S. 7. Clunie G. 3. Martinez P. 14. Salas D. 15. Salmeron I. 6. Ugalde J. 23. Vega J. (G)
Coaches
Diaz M.	Roman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Gutierrez K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Colindres D. ↓, Caicedo J. F. ↑,
54', Ramirez F. ↓, Matarrita J. ↑,
57', Ramirez E. ↓, Salas D. ↑,
57', Roman S. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
66', Cole K. ↓, Ugalde J. ↑,
66', Rivera Stuart J. ↓, Salmeron I. ↑,
71', Ortiz J. ↓, Clunie G. ↑,
71', Angulo M. ↓, Aguilar A. ↑,
71', Madrigal D. ↓, Escoe M. ↑,
77', Pinar F. 🟨,
86', Aguero J. 🟨,
90', Pilone M. ↓, Nunez R. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 and 12).

Recent matches Municipal Liberia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grecia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Municipal Liberia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Municipal Liberia is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Municipal Liberia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Liberia
Costa Rican Primera Division
27.04.24	Sporting San José - Municipal Liberia	3:2 ✺
24.04.24	Municipal Liberia - San Carlos	3:3 ✺
21.04.24	Municipal Liberia - Cartagines	3:1 ✺
16.04.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Municipal Liberia	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	Municipal Liberia - Guanacasteca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTWTW
- Municipal Grecia
Costa Rican Primera Division
03.05.24	Municipal Grecia - Guanacasteca	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Municipal Grecia - Santos de Guápiles	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Pérez Zeledón - Municipal Grecia	1:1 ✺
17.04.24	Alajuelense - Municipal Grecia	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Municipal Grecia - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
02.03.24	Municipal Grecia - Municipal Liberia	1:2
22.10.23	Municipal Grecia - Municipal Liberia	2:3

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