Match Info

SLOVENIA: Prva liga - Round 36

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Mestni stadion Fazanerija (Murska Sobota)

Referee: Bubek A. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub


	Mura		Rogaška

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.83
	3.5	3.5	1.95
	4.04	3.7	1.9
	4.04	3.7	1.87
	3.2	3.4	2
	4.09	3.74	1.76	Watch
	3.55	3.65	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.52)	3.6 ↑ (3.49)	1.89 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mura
24.9%

Draw
25.8%

Rogaška
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

26.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

26.2%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mura's form might have worsened.

Rogaška has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rogaška's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mura than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rogaška than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rogaška, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mura - Rogaška Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mura will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Rogaška will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rogaška: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Raduha F. (G) 26. Proleta B. 2. Cipot K. 5. Sadriu L. 3. Pucko K. 32. Trontelj Z. 88. Nuhanovic S. 6. Antolin A. 22. Jovicevic N. 20. Kasalo N. 17. Marosa A. (C)	30. Lorber Z. (G) 66. Kambic L. 15. Vujcic N. 2. Pirtovsek R. 44. Flis Z. (C) 22. Kregar O. 88. Korosec A. 8. Thalisson Charles 35. Lovric D. 77. Kurez G. 28. Mijic P.
Substitutes
. Anzelj B. 25. Domijan J. 70. Koren N. L. 23. Kumer Celik A. 30. Kurtovic A. 9. Marusko M. 7. Saitoski E. 21. Scernjavic T. 12. Strajnar A. (G) 16. Tripi F. 77. Turudija L.	84. Mulalic A. (G)
Coaches
Zlogar A.	Drobne O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', Lorber Z. ↓, Mulalic A. ↑,
4', 0 - 1, Mijic P. ⚽, Kurez G. (A),
14', Trontelj Z. ↓, Kurtovic A. ↑,
44', 0 - 2, Korosec A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pucko K. ↓, Scernjavic T. ↑,
46', Proleta B. ↓, Turudija L. ↑,
46', Antolin A. ↓, Tripi F. ↑,
54', Pirtovsek R. 🟨,
55', 1 - 2, Marosa A. ⚽, Scernjavic T. (A),
71', Jovicevic N. ↓, Domijan J. ↑,
75', Kurez G. ↓, Majcenic A. ↑,
79', Mulalic A. 🟨,
80', Flis Z. 🟨,
81', Cipot K. 🟨,
88', Korosec A. ↓, Satchwell S. ↑,
89', Tripi F. 🟨,
90+4', Sadriu L. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mura won 3.

Recent matches Mura is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rogaška is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rogaška will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mura won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mura won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
12.05.24	NK Bravo - Mura	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura	0:0 ✺
29.04.24	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
25.04.24	Mura - Rogaška	2:3 penalties ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.04.24	Radomlje - Mura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTWLW
- NK Rogaška
Slovenian PrvaLiga
11.05.24	Rogaška - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:4 ✺
05.05.24	Radomlje - Rogaška	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Rogaška - Koper	2:2 ✺
Slovenian Cup
25.04.24	Mura - Rogaška	2:3 penalties ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
21.04.24	Maribor - Rogaška	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian Cup
25.04.24	Mura - Rogaška	2:3 penalties
Slovenian PrvaLiga
17.03.24	Rogaška - Mura	0:0
07.12.23	Mura - Rogaška	3:1
23.09.23	Rogaška - Mura	0:2
Slovenian Cup
16.08.18	Rogaška - Mura	1:3
Slovenian 2 SNL
17.03.18	Rogaška - Mura	0:3
27.08.17	Mura - Rogaška	2:0

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