Match Info

SLOVENIA: Prva liga - Round 35

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: SD Rogaska Slatina (Rogaska Slatina)

Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)


	Rogaška		Aluminij Kidricevo

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.5	4
	1.8	3.6	4
	1.81	3.89	4.18
	1.84	3.68	4.21
	1.73	3.5	4
	1.77	3.59	4.19	Watch
	1.8	3.65	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.17)	3.63 ↑ (3.58)	4.08 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rogaška
51.8%

Draw
25.5%

Aluminij Kidricevo
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

25.8%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

24.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rogaška has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rogaška's performance.

Aluminij Kidricevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aluminij Kidricevo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rogaška than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rogaška that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aluminij Kidricevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Rogaška - Aluminij Kidricevo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rogaška will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Mulalic A. (G) 66. Kambic L. 42. Diaby T. 15. Vujcic N. 44. Flis Z. (C) 6. Majcen J. 8. Thalisson Charles 29. Satchwell S. 88. Korosec A. 22. Kregar O. 28. Mijic P.	28. Jovanovic L. (G) 32. Schaubach R. 3. Zeljkovic A. 37. Koblar L. (C) 21. Jovan G. 14. Jagic T. 6. Pisek J. 7. Tanyi B. 19. Gorenak G. 25. Kljun T. 24. Matic T.
Coaches
Drobne O.	Pevnik R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
15', Thalisson Charles 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Schaubach R. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Kljun T. ⚽,
42', 0 - 3, Tanyi B. ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 4, Tanyi B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Satchwell S. ↓, Majcenic A. ↑,
46', Diaby T. ↓, Pirtovsek R. ↑,
46', Kregar O. ↓, Erico ↑,
49', Jovan G. 🟨,
54', Erico 🟨,
54', Zeljkovic A. 🟨,
58', Kljun T. ↓, Bilyi A. ↑,
58', Tanyi B. ↓, Subaric M. ↑,
61', Kambic L. ↓, Sim D. ↑,
61', Majcen J. ↓, Prenkpalaj M. ↑,
63', 1 - 4, Mijic P. ⚽,
66', Schaubach R. 🟨,
77', Jovan G. ↓, Kosi F. ↑,
77', Gorenak G. ↓, Brkljaca M. ↑,
88', Matic T. 🟨,
89', Matic T. ↓, Krapukhin S. ↑,
90', Prenkpalaj M. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. SNL).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rogaška won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Rogaška is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rogaška won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Rogaška won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Rogaška
Slovenian PrvaLiga
05.05.24	Radomlje - Rogaška	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Rogaška - Koper	2:2 ✺
Slovenian Cup
25.04.24	Mura - Rogaška	2:3 penalties ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
21.04.24	Maribor - Rogaška	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Rogaška - Celje	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWLL
- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian PrvaLiga
04.05.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - NK Bravo	1:1 ✺
29.04.24	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Aluminij Kidricevo	5:0 ✺
15.04.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Radomlje	1:1 ✺
11.04.24	Koper - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
13.03.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Rogaška	0:1
16.12.23	Rogaška - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1
16.09.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Rogaška	1:2
Club Friendly
24.02.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Rogaška	0:0
Slovenian 2 SNL
25.11.22	Aluminij Kidricevo - Rogaška	1:2
13.08.22	Rogaška - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1
Club Friendly
09.07.21	Aluminij Kidricevo - Rogaška	4:1

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