The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mathare United 28.1%
Draw 31.5%
Muranga Seal 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
31.4%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
31.9%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathare United's form might have worsened.
Muranga Seal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Muranga Seal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathare United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muranga Seal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mathare United - Muranga Seal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Haki V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Recent performances by Mathare United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Muranga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Mathare United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.