Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Sofapaka		Bidco United

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.68	2.98
	2.56	2.72	2.99	Watch
	2.5	2.5	2.9
	2.53	2.67	2.91
	2.45	2.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.4)	2.67 ↓ (2.85)	2.94 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sofapaka
35.8%

Draw
33.6%

Bidco United
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

32.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

29.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Bidco United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bidco United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Sofapaka - Bidco United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 1 - 0, ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 2.

Recent form of Sofapaka has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bidco United has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofapaka FC
Kenyan Premier League
22.12.25	Sofapaka - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
17.12.25	Mathare United - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Sofapaka - Tusker	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Kenya CB - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Sofapaka - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLLT
- Bidco United
Kenyan Premier League
23.12.25	Bidco United - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
18.12.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Bidco United - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Shabana - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
01.12.25	Bidco United - Posta Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
21.12.24	Bidco United - Sofapaka	0:2
02.03.24	Bidco United - Sofapaka	1:1
07.01.24	Sofapaka - Bidco United	3:0
22.04.23	Sofapaka - Bidco United	0:2
19.02.23	Bidco United - Sofapaka	2:0
14.05.22	Sofapaka - Bidco United	2:1
16.01.22	Bidco United - Sofapaka	1:1

Sofapaka - Bidco United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide