Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 23 December 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Bidco United		AFC Leopards

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.15	1.8
	4.41	3.04	1.86	Watch
	4.6	2.8	1.8
	4.5	3.05	1.82
	4.25	2.8	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.65)	2.97 ↑ (2.85)	1.84 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bidco United
20.5%

Draw
30.4%

AFC Leopards
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

32.1%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

30.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bidco United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Leopards's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bidco United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Bidco United - AFC Leopards Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bidco United will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Leopards will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leopards (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bidco United won 2.

Bidco United is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leopards is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Leopards will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bidco United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bidco United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bidco United
Kenyan Premier League
18.12.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Bidco United - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Shabana - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
01.12.25	Bidco United - Posta Rangers	0:1 ✺
26.11.25	Bidco United - Police FC	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
18.12.25	AFC Leopards - Ulinzi Stars	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Police FC - AFC Leopards	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Kariobangi Sharks - AFC Leopards	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
26.04.25	AFC Leopards - Bidco United	3:1
21.09.24	Bidco United - AFC Leopards	0:1
10.12.23	Bidco United - AFC Leopards	2:1
26.04.23	Bidco United - AFC Leopards	1:1
08.01.23	AFC Leopards - Bidco United	1:4
06.02.22	AFC Leopards - Bidco United	1:1
30.05.21	AFC Leopards - Bidco United	1:3

Bidco United - AFC Leopards: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide