Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2


	Muranga Seal		Kariobangi Sharks

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.68	3.1
	2.38	2.67	3.2
	2.23	3.00	3.21	Watch
	2.4	2.68	3.22
	2.4	2.66	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)	2.74 ↓ (2.88)	3.17 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muranga Seal
38.4%

Draw
33.1%

Kariobangi Sharks
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Kariobangi Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Muranga Seal - Kariobangi Sharks Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

Muranga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kariobangi Sharks is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Muranga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Muranga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Muranga won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Muranga won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Kariobangi Sharks - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.41%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
23.11.25	Muranga Seal - Shabana	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Muranga Seal - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	Posta Rangers - Muranga Seal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TTTWT
- Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League
23.11.25	Kariobangi Sharks - AFC Leopards	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Nairobi United - Kariobangi Sharks	4:2 ✺
01.11.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Shabana	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Kariobangi Sharks - APS Bomet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
20.04.25	Muranga Seal - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0
22.09.24	Kariobangi Sharks - Muranga Seal	3:0
15.05.24	Muranga Seal - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0
07.01.24	Kariobangi Sharks - Muranga Seal	1:1

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