Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Muranga Seal		Nairobi City Stars

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.85	2.95
	2.49	2.9	2.92	Watch
	2.49	2.83	2.82
	2.45	2.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.48)	2.86 ↑ (2.85)	2.91 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muranga Seal
36.9%

Draw
31.9%

Nairobi City Stars
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

32%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muranga Seal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Nairobi City Stars have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Muranga Seal - Nairobi City Stars Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Muranga will win (votes: 13 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muranga: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Muranga Seal will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Muranga S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

In recent matches, Muranga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nairobi City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Muranga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Muranga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muranga Seal
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.05.25	Muranga Seal - Ulinzi Stars	3:2 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
26.04.25	Posta Rangers - Muranga Seal	3:2 ✺
20.04.25	Muranga Seal - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Muranga Seal - Bidco United	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Shabana - Muranga Seal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTTL
- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
26.04.25	Nairobi City Stars - Shabana	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Tusker - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Nairobi City Stars - Police FC	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Nairobi City Stars - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Sofapaka - Nairobi City Stars	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
07.12.24	Nairobi City Stars - Muranga Seal	1:0
13.04.24	Nairobi City Stars - Muranga Seal	3:0

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