Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 24

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday


	Sofapaka		Nairobi City Stars

	1	X	2
	1.97	3.15	3.65
	2.06	3.13	3.4
	2	3.27	3.55	Watch
	1.98	3.18	3.57
	1.97	3.15	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.72)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	3.56 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofapaka
45.7%

Draw
28.7%

Nairobi City Stars
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

29.3%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

29%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofapaka's form might have worsened.

Nairobi City Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nairobi City Stars's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofapaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nairobi City Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sofapaka - Nairobi City Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Onganya J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', Ochoro E. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, Simiyu B. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sofapaka won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Sofapaka is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sofapaka won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sofapaka won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:5 (average 2.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofapaka FC
Kenyan Premier League
01.03.25	Sofapaka - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	AFC Leopards - Sofapaka	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Sofapaka - Kenya CB	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Bandari - Sofapaka	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Police FC - Sofapaka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTWLT
- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
01.03.25	Nairobi City Stars - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Talanta - Nairobi City Stars	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Nairobi City Stars - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:5 ✺
08.02.25	Bidco United - Nairobi City Stars	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Nairobi City Stars - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
19.10.24	Nairobi City Stars - Sofapaka	1:1
30.09.23	Sofapaka - Nairobi City Stars	1:2
11.03.23	Nairobi City Stars - Sofapaka	1:1
14.01.23	Sofapaka - Nairobi City Stars	1:2
23.04.22	Nairobi City Stars - Sofapaka	0:2
26.09.21	Sofapaka - Nairobi City Stars	3:1
24.05.21	Nairobi City Stars - Sofapaka	3:0

Sofapaka - Nairobi City Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide