Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Nairobi City Stars		Shabana

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.95	2
	2.99	3.19	2.19
	3.03	3.13	2.28
	3.2	2.89	2.37	Watch
	3.15	3.05	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (5.12)	3.04 ↑ (3)	2.21 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nairobi City Stars
28.2%

Draw
30.2%

Shabana
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

30.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

30.1%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi City Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nairobi City Stars's performance.

Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shabana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nairobi City Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shabana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nairobi City Stars - Shabana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, ⚽,
71', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 4).

Recent matches Nairobi City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shabana is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shabana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shabana is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nairobi City won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Nairobi City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
20.04.25	Tusker - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Nairobi City Stars - Police FC	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Nairobi City Stars - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Sofapaka - Nairobi City Stars	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Nairobi City Stars - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTTLW
- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
20.04.25	Talanta - Shabana	2:4 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
13.04.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	1:0 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
06.04.25	Shabana - Bandari	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Shabana - Muranga Seal	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	AFC Leopards - Shabana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
03.11.24	Shabana - Nairobi City Stars	0:1
04.02.24	Nairobi City Stars - Shabana	0:0
22.10.23	Shabana - Nairobi City Stars	2:2

Upcoming Matches