Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Tusker		Nairobi City Stars

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.22	5.42
	1.66	3.31	5.46	Watch
	1.65	3.24	5.44
	1.79	3.1	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.77)	3.22 ↑ (3.04)	5.23 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tusker
54.2%

Draw
28.4%

Nairobi City Stars
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

30.4%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

29.8%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Nairobi City Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi City Stars than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Tusker - Nairobi City Stars Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Decha ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Otieno Omondi W. 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tusker won 3.

Tusker is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Nairobi City is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Tusker is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tusker won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Tusker won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
06.04.25	Mara Sugar - Tusker	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Bidco United - Tusker	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Tusker - Posta Rangers	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Bandari - Tusker	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Tusker - Shabana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWTT
- Nairobi City Stars
Kenyan Premier League
06.04.25	Nairobi City Stars - Police FC	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Nairobi City Stars - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Sofapaka - Nairobi City Stars	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Nairobi City Stars - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Talanta - Nairobi City Stars	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
23.11.24	Nairobi City Stars - Tusker	0:1
11.11.23	Tusker - Nairobi City Stars	3:1
03.05.23	Nairobi City Stars - Tusker	0:0
27.11.22	Tusker - Nairobi City Stars	4:1
15.05.22	Nairobi City Stars - Tusker	0:0
16.01.22	Tusker - Nairobi City Stars	0:1
30.07.21	Tusker - Nairobi City Stars	0:1

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