Match Info

Date: 7 August 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Murici		Itabaiana

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Murici
24%

Draw
28%

Itabaiana
47.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.6%

30.2%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

23.2%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murici has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murici's form might have worsened.

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itabaiana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murici than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Murici has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Itabaiana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Itabaiana will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Itabaiana to win the game is with odds 1.92.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Murici won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murici FC
Brazilian Serie D
31.07.21	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Murici	1:0 ✺
24.07.21	Murici - Juazeirense	0:3 ✺
17.07.21	Juazeirense - Murici	2:1 ✺
10.07.21	Murici - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:3 ✺
04.07.21	Itabaiana - Murici	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie D
01.08.21	Itabaiana - Bahia de Feira	1:2 ✺
25.07.21	Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana	2:2 ✺
18.07.21	Itabaiana - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
11.07.21	Bahia de Feira - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
04.07.21	Itabaiana - Murici	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTLWW

Brazilian Serie D
04.07.21	Itabaiana - Murici	1:0

Murici - Itabaiana