Match Info

Date: 4 July 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Itabaiana		Murici

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	4.6
	1.57	3.8	4.5
	1.63	3.5	4.8
	1.66	3.69	5.14
	1.65	3.3	5
	1.68	3.58	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.72)	3.63 ↑ (3.52)	4.79 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabaiana
55.9%

Draw
25.1%

Murici
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

18.8%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Murici has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murici than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

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Preview

Recent matches Itabaiana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murici is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Itabaiana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Itabaiana is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.21	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Itabaiana	0:2 ✺
20.06.21	Itabaiana - Sergipe	2:1 ✺
12.06.21	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Itabaiana	0:0 ✺
06.06.21	Itabaiana - Juazeirense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
09.05.21	Itabaiana - Lagarto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTTL
- Murici FC
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.21	Sergipe - Murici	2:1 ✺
19.06.21	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
12.06.21	Murici - Bahia de Feira	2:0 ✺
06.06.21	Retrô Brasil - Murici	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
05.05.21	Murici - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Itabaiana - Murici

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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