Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 4

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday


	Murom		Chayka Peschanokopskoye

	1	X	2
	4.34	3.9	1.58
	4.45	3.88	1.63
	4.5	3.8	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↓ (4.75)	3.86 ↑ (3.74)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murom
20.4%

Draw
23.4%

Chayka Peschanokopskoye
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

24.4%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

24%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Chayka Peschanokopskoye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murom than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Murom - Chayka Peschanokopskoye Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 23. Agureev D. 24. Azyavin I. 88. Chupin V. 27. Esin V. 67. Kozlov V. 10. Levin M. 4. Mikhailenko D. 8. Samsonov A. 21. Yanov D. 19. Zapalatsky S. (C)	1. Moskvichev B. (G) 19. Dolgov P. (C) 3. Ibragimov K. 44. Karmaev N. 7. Khokhlachev A. 22. Kozhedub S. 10. Kvekveskiri D. 63. Nesterov A. 32. Pivovarov D. 8. Sadov D. 77. Zarypbekov E.
Substitutes
2. Eliseev I. 47. Gabdullin I. 18. Komissarov G. 22. Kopylov D. 39. Murza A. 17. Pershin Y. 99. Pertsev V. 1. Sedov E. (G)	45. Bokov D. (G) 71. Butovchenko I. 4. Detenyshev I. 84. Ivashin A. 94. Koldunov N. 99. Kozachenko O. 59. Kvaratskhelia A. 17. Papikyan D. 30. Reznichenko S. (G) 9. Rudenko V. 46. Shcherban D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Samsonov A. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Dolgov P. ⚽,
40', Ibragimov K. 🟨,
45+2', Nesterov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
52', Nesterov A. ↓, Ivashin A. ↑,
60', Pivovarov D. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Azyavin I. (Pen),
63', 2 - 2, Dolgov P. ⚽,
64', Sadov D. ↓, Koldunov N. ↑,
69', Agureev D. ↓, Gabdullin I. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Kozachenko O. ⚽,
80', 3 - 3, Azyavin I. ⚽,
84', 4 - 3, Gabdullin I. ⚽,
86', Pivovarov D. ↓, Detenyshev I. ↑,
86', Levin M. ↓, Komissarov G. ↑,
88', Mikhailenko D. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Murom is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chayka Peschanokopskoye is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Chayka Peschanokopskoye is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Murom won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Murom won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Murom
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
26.05.24	Murom - Rodina Moscow 2	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Murom - Rotor	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Krasnodar 2 - Murom	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Murom	5:2 ✺
07.04.24	Veles Moscow - Murom	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWLL
- Chayka Peschanokopskoye
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
26.05.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Rotor	3:1 ✺
28.04.24	Veles Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:0 ✺
24.04.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ufa	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Rotor - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Krasnodar 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
29.10.23	Murom - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	1:2
03.09.23	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Murom	1:3

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