Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Málaga		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.75	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.2
	2.3	2.85	3.6	Watch
	2.24	2.85	3.55
	2.33	2.95	3.86
	2.35	2.87	3.25	Watch
	2.28	2.96	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.26)	2.9 ↓ (3.11)	3.55 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
41.1%

Draw
32.4%

Fuenlabrada
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

30.9%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

23.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Málaga - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 10).

Málaga has the most likely position - 17 (6.13%), has project points - 54, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 18 (6.34%), has project points - 53, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Málaga will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
26.09.21	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
19.09.21	Ponferradina - Málaga	4:0 ✺
12.09.21	Málaga - Girona	2:0 ✺
04.09.21	Almería - Málaga	2:0 ✺
27.08.21	Málaga - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
27.09.21	Fuenlabrada - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
19.09.21	Huesca - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
12.09.21	Fuenlabrada - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
04.09.21	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	1:1 ✺
29.08.21	Real Sociedad B - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.04.21	Málaga - Fuenlabrada	0:1
01.12.20	Fuenlabrada - Málaga	0:2
17.01.20	Fuenlabrada - Málaga	0:0
10.11.19	Málaga - Fuenlabrada	0:0

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