Match Info

Date: 27 September 2021, Monday


	Fuenlabrada		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3	4.4
	2	2.95	4.5	Watch
	1.97	3	4.2
	2.03	3.16	4.57
	1.91	2.9	4.75	Watch
	2.02	2.95	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	4.47 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
47.7%

Draw
31.2%

Cartagena
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

30%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

19.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuenlabrada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartagena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.3%	51.4%	14.3%

Fuenlabrada - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 12 - 34.3%). Cartagena will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 51.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.8% – 68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 12).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 20 (6.94%), has project points - 52, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (25%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cartagena has the most likely position - 18 (6.06%), has project points - 54, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Fuenlabrada is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
19.09.21	Huesca - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
12.09.21	Fuenlabrada - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
04.09.21	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	1:1 ✺
29.08.21	Real Sociedad B - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
21.08.21	Alcorcón - Fuenlabrada	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTTTW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
18.09.21	Cartagena - Lugo	2:1 ✺
12.09.21	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
04.09.21	Cartagena - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
30.08.21	Zaragoza - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
22.08.21	Huesca - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.05.21	Fuenlabrada - Cartagena	2:1
17.10.20	Cartagena - Fuenlabrada	1:1

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