Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Romano Jose Fouto (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Mérida AD		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3
	2.3	3	3.05
	2.42	3.06	3.03
	2.44	2.98	3.09	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.9
	2.35	2.92	3.02
	2.33	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.24)	2.94 ↓ (3.18)	3.01 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
38.9%

Draw
30.9%

Pontevedra
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29.2%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29.4%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-1%)

Mérida AD - Pontevedra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Csenterics A. (G) 15. Martinez G. 5. Dominguez J. 3. Lancho J. 23. Verges E. 21. Beneit R. (C) 8. Solar M. 18. Dibrani B. 11. Areso J. 14. Artola J. 7. Chiqui	13. Marqueta R. (G) 16. Vidorreta A. 4. Bosch M. 6. Ribeiro A. 11. Cuesta M. 2. Eimil V. 23. Montoro A. 10. Pino Y. (C) 14. Resende J. 8. Abelenda B. 24. Rodriguez T.
Substitutes
13. Cacharron P. (G) 16. Capitas M. 26. Gil A. (G) 12. Gomes R. 17. Herranz Corral V. 19. Pipe 22. Rivas M.	22. Comparada Gonzalez A. 3. Exposito A. 19. Garay B. 20. Gil A. 17. Macias L. 5. Perez A. 1. Sousa E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Beneit R. ⚽,
31', Bosch M. 🟨,
45+3', Pino Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Eimil V. ↓, Comparada Gonzalez A. ↑,
58', Ribeiro A. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
69', 🟥,
73', Artola J. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Martinez G. 🟨,
76', Dibrani B. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
77', Resende J. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
78', Abelenda B. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
80', Martinez G. 🟨,
82', 🟨,
86', Artola J. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
86', Solar M. ↓, Herranz Corral V. ↑,
86', Areso J. ↓, Pipe ↑,
87', Pipe 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Comparada Gonzalez A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Mérida AD is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pontevedra is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Pontevedra	6	2	2	2	8:8	0	8
14	AD Merida	6	2	0	4	9:11	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.01.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Mérida AD - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Lugo - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Mérida AD - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLLL
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.01.26	Pontevedra - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Real Avilés - Pontevedra	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Pontevedra - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Barakaldo - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pontevedra - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.11.25	Pontevedra - Mérida AD	1:1
15.04.23	Pontevedra - Mérida AD	1:5
01.10.22	Mérida AD - Pontevedra	2:0

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