Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Villarreal B		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4
	1.78	3.3	3.8
	1.88	3.4	3.9
	1.9	3.49	3.98
	1.84	3.44	3.93	Watch
	1.83	3.35	4.22
	1.88	3.4	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.77)	3.35 ↑ (3.26)	3.96 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
49.6%

Draw
27.3%

Mérida AD
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Villarreal B - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez I. (G) 15. Joseda 4. Espigares A. 6. Perez H. 5. Sola A. 11. Requena D. 23. Diatta A. 8. Rodri 9. Valverde V. 14. Etta Eyong 21. Slavy	1. Juanpa (G) 18. Falcon E. 22. Athuman I. 28. del Cerro S. 21. Beneit R. 6. Miki 19. Pipe 24. Carvalho M. 14. Beltran L. 11. Doncel C. 8. Eslava J.
Substitutes
32. Budesca D. 10. Geralnik T. 13. Gomez R. (G) 12. Kone A. 20. Ojeda T. 19. Quintero L. 34. Tamarit T. 16. Val B. 17. Valou J. 22. Viveros F.	7. Alvaro J. 4. Bonaque M. 23. Busi 17. Ganet P. 3. Jimenez N. 26. Macia I. (G) 20. Nabian H. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 15. Prevedini M. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Beneit R. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Valverde V. ⚽,
61', Falcon E. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
61', Carvalho M. ↓, Ganet P. ↑,
68', Slavy ↓, Quintero L. ↑,
68', Diatta A. ↓, Ojeda T. ↑,
70', Doncel C. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
77', Rodri 🟨,
81', Miki ↓, Busi ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Etta Eyong ⚽,
84', Rodri ↓, Geralnik T. ↑,
84', Valverde V. ↓, Viveros F. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Viveros F. ⚽,
90+1', Athuman I. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Villarreal B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.03.25	Marbella - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Villarreal B - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Villarreal B - Alcoyano	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.25	Villarreal B - Levadia Tallinn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWW
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.03.25	Mérida AD - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Algeciras - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	1:4 ✺
15.02.25	Intercity - Mérida AD	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.10.24	Mérida AD - Villarreal B	1:1

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