Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Romano (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Mérida AD		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.78	3.1	4.1
	1.85	3.25	4.3
	1.81	3.35	4.63
	1.79	3.3	4.44	Watch
	1.78	3.38	4.47
	1.85	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.04)	3.25 ↑ (3.17)	4.35 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
50.7%

Draw
28.2%

Atlético Sanluqueño
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mérida AD's performance.

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Sanluqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Mérida AD - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 22. Athuman I. 28. del Cerro S. 7. Alvaro J. 17. Ganet P. 21. Beneit R. 6. Miki 14. Beltran L. 11. Doncel C. 8. Eslava J.	1. Perez S. (G) 18. Kikin 5. Puerto A. 20. Amoah I. 3. Martinez A. 11. Guti A. 14. El Arbaoui Y. 30. Bouare G. 10. Vacas L. 23. Soonsup-Bell J. 21. El Ftouhi S.
Substitutes
4. Bonaque M. 24. Carvalho M. 18. Falcon E. 3. Jimenez N. 26. Macia I. (G) 9. Mizzian M. 20. Nabian H. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 15. Prevedini M. 13. Vicente D. (G)	16. Cabrera J. 8. Carbonell P. 7. Colau 15. Cuevas A. 2. Garcia A. 13. Garcia-Alejo R. (G) 26. Garcia D. 17. Pavon A. 24. Riera R. 19. Rodriguez M. 9. Vazquez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Beneit R. ⚽,
12', Pipe 🟨,
24', Eslava J. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Beltran L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 2 - 1, Puerto A. ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, Guti A. ⚽,
62', Alvaro J. ↓, Mizzian M. ↑,
62', Miki ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
72', Athuman I. ↓, Falcon E. ↑,
78', Vacas L. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
78', Soonsup-Bell J. ↓, Cuevas A. ↑,
79', Kikin ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Eslava J. ⚽,
83', Eslava J. ↓, Prevedini M. ↑,
83', Doncel C. ↓, Carvalho M. ↑,
85', Bouare G. ↓, Colau ↑,
85', Guti A. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
88', Mizzian M. 🟥,
90', Vazquez B. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1.

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sanluqueño is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mérida AD is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.25	Algeciras - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	1:4 ✺
15.02.25	Intercity - Mérida AD	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Betis B - Mérida AD	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLLWW
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Marbella	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Ibiza - Atlético Sanluqueño	4:2 ✺
16.02.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.09.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mérida AD	0:3
28.04.24	Mérida AD - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0
02.09.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mérida AD	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.01.20	Mérida AD - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0
01.09.19	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mérida AD	3:0
05.03.17	Mérida AD - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0
16.10.16	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mérida AD	2:2

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