Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 31

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Mławianka Mława		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.75	1.4
	5.01	4.79	1.41
	5.01	4.79	1.42
	5.78	4.92	1.42	Watch
	5.14	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (4.5)	4.65 ↑ (3.95)	1.43 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
17.3%

Draw
19.5%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

23%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

26.1%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Mławianka Mława - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Zinkewycz O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
49', 0 - 2, Jaron D. ⚽,
51', 1 - 2, Masalov O. ⚽,
53', 1 - 3, Niski N. ⚽,
63', 1 - 4, Mikolajewski E. (Own goal),
66', 1 - 5, Zinkewycz O. ⚽,

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mławianka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mławianka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.05.24	Unia Skierniewice - Mławianka Mława	3:3 ✺
11.05.24	Mławianka Mława - Pilica Białobrzegi	1:0 ✺
03.05.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Mławianka Mława - Concordia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWLWW
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.05.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	15:0 ✺
10.05.24	Broń Radom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Legia II - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	4:3 ✺
20.04.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.10.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	2:1
17.06.23	Mławianka Mława - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2
19.11.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	2:0

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