Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 30

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Mławianka Mława		Unia Skierniewice

	1	X	2
	6.2	5.8	1.31
	6.41	6	1.33	Watch
	6.4	6.1	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.34 ↑ (6.24)	5.97 ↑ (5.8)	1.31 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
14.5%

Draw
15.4%

Unia Skierniewice
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

15.8%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

15.1%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Derlatka H. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

In recent matches, Mławianka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Unia Skierniewice is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mławianka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Unia Skierniewice has had a series of home games.

In this match, Unia Skierniewice is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mławianka won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mławianka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.25	ŁKS Łomża - Mławianka Mława	3:0 ✺
07.05.25	Wikielec - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
02.05.25	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	Victoria Sulejówek - Mławianka Mława	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Mławianka Mława - Wisła Płock II	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLTW
- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.05.25	Unia Skierniewice - Wikielec	3:0 ✺
01.05.25	Broń Radom - Unia Skierniewice	0:4 ✺
25.04.25	Unia Skierniewice - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Unia Skierniewice - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Bełchatów	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.10.24	Unia Skierniewice - Mławianka Mława	0:0
15.05.24	Unia Skierniewice - Mławianka Mława	3:3
21.10.23	Mławianka Mława - Unia Skierniewice	1:2
27.05.23	Unia Skierniewice - Mławianka Mława	1:3
29.10.22	Mławianka Mława - Unia Skierniewice	0:0

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