Match Info

Serie B - Round 21

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Eladio de Barros Carvalho (Aflitos) (Recife)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Náutico Capibaribe		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.25	3
	2.37	3.10	2.85
	2.28	3.2	2.98
	2.42	3.45	3.03
	2.35	3.34	2.9	Watch
	2.35	3.35	2.85
	2.37	3.28	2.89
	2.29	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.2)	3.28 ↑ (3.12)	2.94 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
39.8%

Draw
28.5%

Atlético Goianiense
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.5%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

29.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Náutico Capibaribe - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muriel Becker (G) 2. Arnaldo 15. Leo Indio 3. Betao 23. Igor Fernandes 5. Auremir 41. Samuel Felix 93. Reginaldo 10. Jean Carlos (C) 24. Borasi B. 19. Kauan Maranhao	1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ewerthon 4. Barreto Viera O. J. 3. Adriano Martins 6. Yuri Alves 8. Peixoto 5. Leandro Vilela 7. Leo Tocantins 10. Matheusinho 11. Geovany Soares 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)
Substitutes
88. Caio 55. Guruceaga G. (G) 46. Gustavo Henrique 99. Isaque Ferreira 37. Juan Rikelme 16. Luiz Claudio 22. Nunez P. 6. Ryan Carlos 11. Victor Andrade 34. Wanderson	21. Bruno Jose 17. Cristiano 22. Gustavo Maia 19. Henrique Freitas 13. Henrique K. 15. Igor Henrique 18. Joao Pedro 16. Nata 20. Netinho 12. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Tito
Coaches
Helio dos Anjos	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kauan Maranhao ⚽, Igor Fernandes (A),
18', Arnaldo 🟨,
22', Adriano Martins 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leo Tocantins ↓, Cristiano ↑,
46', Leandro Vilela ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
46', Matheusinho ↓, Henrique Freitas ↑,
52', Muriel Becker 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Geovany Soares ⚽, Henrique Freitas (A),
64', Auremir ↓, Gustavo Henrique ↑,
64', Samuel Felix ↓, Nunez P. ↑,
64', Igor Fernandes ↓, Ryan Carlos ↑,
71', Arnaldo ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
73', Geovany Soares ↓, Gustavo Maia ↑,
80', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
82', Victor Andrade 🟨,
83', Cristiano 🟨,
86', Borasi B. 🟨,
87', Borasi B. ↓, Juan Rikelme ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 2.

In recent matches, Náutico has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético GO is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Náutico: Matheus Ribeiro (Yellow Cards) Vinicius (Injury) Wenderson (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Geovane (Inactive) Guilherme (Yellow Cards) Lima (Inactive) Marrony (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Náutico: Dodo (Injury) Leonai Souza (Inactive) Paulo Sergio (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Náutico won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Atletico GO	34	14	12	8	42:32	10	54
15	Nautico	34	11	10	13	39:42	-3	43

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Atletico GO: 0.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
26.07.26	Criciúma - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0 ✺
22.07.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Londrina	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	CRB Maceio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Avaí - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLLT
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
27.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Operário Ferroviario	3:1 ✺
23.07.26	Cuiabá - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
01.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2
28.10.16	Náutico Capibaribe - Atlético Goianiense	2:1
02.07.16	Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0
15.09.15	Náutico Capibaribe - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
13.06.15	Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
25.10.14	Náutico Capibaribe - Atlético Goianiense	1:2
26.07.14	Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0

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