Match Info

Serie B - Round 35

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	16:30	Disney+, RedeTV!


	Atlético Goianiense		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.65	Watch
	2.50	3.20	2.55
	2.52	3.15	2.65	Watch
	2.66	3.3	2.82
	2.55	3.23	2.76	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.75
	2.5	3.16	2.7	Watch
	2.48	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.35)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	2.69 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
36.6%

Draw
29%

Grêmio Novorizontino
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.2%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético GO (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Warley 3. Tito 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 5. Peixoto 8. Netinho 7. Geovany Soares 10. Marrony 11. Gustavo Maia 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)	93. Jordi (G) 2. Madson 3. Carlinhos 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 4. Patrick 17. Matheus Bianqui 6. Luis Oyama 41. Reidiney 10. Romulo 30. Nicolas Careca 9. Carlao
Substitutes
22. Bruno Jose 16. Cristiano 20. David Terans 13. Ewerthon 19. Guilherme 15. Gustavo Daniel 17. Henrique Freitas 18. Joao Pedro 21. Matheusinho 14. Nata 12. Paulo Henrique (G)	31. Cesar Augusto (G) 19. Diego Galo 27. Diego Mathias 22. Ivan Alvarino 40. Jardiel 50. Juninho 18. Leo Naldi 24. Lora J. 28. Marlon 8. Ortiz C. 7. Ronald Barcellos 16. Vinicius Paiva
Coaches
Roger Silva	Moreira E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Netinho 🟨,
32', Gustavo Maia 🟨,
45+7', Enderson Moreira 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jordi ↓, Cesar Augusto ↑,
56', Guilherme ↓, Gustavo Daniel ↑,
56', Nicolas Careca ↓, Diego Galo ↑,
58', Peixoto 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Eduardo Brock ⚽,
63', Madson 🟨,
67', Marrony 🟨,
67', Peixoto ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
67', Gustavo Maia ↓, Henrique Freitas ↑,
67', Marrony ↓, David Terans ↑,
68', Luis Oyama ↓, Leo Naldi ↑,
68', Madson ↓, Ivan Alvarino ↑,
76', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
78', Reidiney 🟨,
86', Matheus Bianqui ↓, Juninho ↑,
90+4', Ivan Alvarino 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final) and 2nd in the Promotion - Serie A).

In recent outings, Atlético GO has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Novorizontino shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Atlético GO could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Atlético GO: Barreto Viera O. J. (Yellow Cards) Warley (Inactive) Yuri (Yellow Cards).

Confirmed absences for Novorizontino: Maykon Jesus (Yellow Cards) Renato Palm (Injury) Tavares Miguel (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Atlético GO: Marrony (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Novorizontino: Gabriel Bahia (Inactive).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Atlético GO has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:8 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético GO against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Novorizontino	35	18	10	7	62:30	32	64
8	Atletico GO	35	14	12	9	42:33	9	54

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Novorizontino: 48.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Goianiense - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.64%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Grêmio Novorizontino - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.13%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
16.10.26	Ponte Preta - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Atlético Goianiense - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
07.10.26	CRB Maceio - Atlético Goianiense	3:1 ✺
03.10.26	Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLWW
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
18.10.26	Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
12.10.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	5:1 ✺
08.10.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Goiás	3:0 ✺
25.09.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
04.07.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense	3:0
08.09.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
04.05.25	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0
01.11.23	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2
07.07.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense	2:2

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