Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 6

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Referee: de Almeida Andrade E. R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Atlético Goianiense		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.88	3	Watch
	2.45	2.85	2.9
	2.49	2.95	3.05
	2.58	2.94	3.21
	2.54	2.84	3.14	Watch
	2.5	2.9	3.1
	2.5	2.97	3.09	Watch
	2.49	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.1)	2.91 ↓ (3.13)	3.07 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
37.3%

Draw
32.2%

Grêmio Novorizontino
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

30%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Goianiense's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vladimir (C) 2. Rai Ramos 3. Matheus Felipe 4. Alix Vinicius 6. Conrado 10. Robert Conceicao 5. Willian Maranhao 8. Luizao 7. Marcelinho 9. Sandro Lima 11. Willian Pottker	93. Jordi (G) 26. Dantas 3. Rafael Donato (C) 4. Patrick 2. Rodrigo Soares 6. Luis Oyama 5. Jean Irmer 88. Patrick Brey 7. Pablo Dyego 99. Nathan Fogaca 10. Matheus Frizzo
Substitutes
12. Anderson (G) 18. Araos A. 17. Barrios F. 19. Kauan Rodrigues 16. Leo Naldi 15. Lucas Ramires 20. Martinez F. 14. Pedro Henrique 21. Rai Natalino 13. Ruan Teixeira	17. Bruno Jose 47. Fabio Matheus 31. Igor Formiga 38. Leo Natel 19. Leo Tocantins 9. Lucca 23. Marcelo (G) 28. Marlon 30. Waguininho 8. Willian Farias
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Umberto Louzer

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Dantas 🟨,
27', Jean Irmer 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Marcelinho ⚽,
38', Marcelinho 🟥,
40', Dantas ↓, Waguininho ↑,
40', Jean Irmer ↓, Marlon ↑,
41', Waguininho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Lucca ↑,
66', Rafael Donato ↓, Willian Farias ↑,
70', Robert Conceicao ↓, Ruan Teixeira ↑,
70', Sandro Lima ↓, Leo Naldi ↑,
72', Luis Oyama ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
79', Willian Pottker ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
81', Luizao 🟨,
87', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', Vladimir 🟨,
90+6', Leo Naldi 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Novorizontino has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Atlético GO: Caio Dantas (Inactive) Rhaldney (Yellow Cards) Shaylon (Injury)

There will not play in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive) Cesar Martins (Injury) Renato Palm (Inactive) Vitinho (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético GO won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
27.04.25	Amazonas - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
22.04.25	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Ferroviária - Atlético Goianiense	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Botafogo SP - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Atlético Goianiense - Athletic Club	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLTW
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Copa do Brasil
30.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
24.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
01.11.23	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2
07.07.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense	2:2

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