Match Info

Date: 10 July 2021, Saturday


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		Esportivo Bento Gonçalves

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.95	3.9
	1.9	3	4
	1.85	3.05	4.2
	1.89	3.21	4.59
	1.88	2.9	4.33
	1.87	3.08	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.27)	3.03 ↑ (2.46)	4.24 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
48.3%

Draw
30.1%

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

37.8%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

25.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Marcílio Dias's performance.

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Marcílio Dias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Esportivo Bento Gonçalves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Marcílio Dias is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
04.07.21	Grêmio Juventus - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0 ✺
26.06.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville	1:1 ✺
20.06.21	Rio Branco PR - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
13.06.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
06.06.21	Aimoré - Náutico Marcílio Dias	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWTL
- Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Brazilian Serie D
03.07.21	FC Cascavel - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
26.06.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Caxias	1:1 ✺
20.06.21	Aimoré - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:1 ✺
12.06.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Grêmio Juventus	2:1 ✺
06.06.21	Rio Branco PR - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
10.10.26	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Brasil de Pelotas	✺

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide