Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.4	3.05	2.05
	3.5	2.9	2.1
	3.44	3.15	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.44)	3.06 ↓ (3.14)	2.05 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
26.2%

Draw
29.6%

Ferroviária
44.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.7%

29.3%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.1%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Marcílio Dias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviária could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Marcílio Dias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferroviária is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferroviária could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ferroviária will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
28.11.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:1 ✺
14.11.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - São Caetano	Sao Caetano awarded ✺
07.11.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
31.10.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Atlético Tubarão	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WL?LW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.12.20	Botafogo SP B - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Ferroviária - Botafogo SP B	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
28.11.20	Ferroviária - Nacional PR	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
25.11.20	Ferroviária - Comercial SP	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
21.11.20	Portuguesa RJ - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTT

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Ferroviária

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Ferroviária Predictions

Preview

Form

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