Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Náxara		Mutilvera

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.15	3.6
	1.95	3.34	3.65	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.94	3.46	3.77
	1.87	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.96)	3.29 ↑ (3.22)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
47.4%

Draw
27.7%

Mutilvera
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Náxara - Mutilvera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Galhardo T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náxara won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Náxara will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Náxara won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Náxara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Naxara	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Beasain - Náxara	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Náxara - Real Unión de Irun	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Alavés B - Náxara	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Náxara - Ejea	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Tudelano - Náxara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WLWTL
- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Mutilvera - SD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Amorebieta - Mutilvera	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Mutilvera - Alfaro	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Gernika - Mutilvera	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Mutilvera - Basconia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.10.25	Mutilvera - Náxara	1:3
27.01.24	Mutilvera - Náxara	1:0
17.09.23	Náxara - Mutilvera	0:1
30.01.22	Náxara - Mutilvera	4:1
11.09.21	Mutilvera - Náxara	3:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
01.06.19	Náxara - Mutilvera	1:1
26.05.19	Mutilvera - Náxara	0:0

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