Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Amorebieta		Mutilvera

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.78	3.1	4.35
	1.85	3.05	4.37
	1.79	3.2	4.6	Watch
	1.83	3	4.4
	1.81	3.13	4.42
	1.8	3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.46)	3.15 ↓ (3.63)	4.66 ↓ (7.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
51.5%

Draw
28.9%

Mutilvera
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

25%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

24.3%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amorebieta's form might have worsened.

Mutilvera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mutilvera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mutilvera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Amorebieta - Mutilvera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Amorebieta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Goikoetxea X. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mutilvera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Amorebieta is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.12.25	Eibar B - Amorebieta	0:2 ✺
05.12.25	Amorebieta - Tudelano	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ejea - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Amorebieta - Náxara	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Amorebieta - Alavés B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLTT
- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.12.25	Mutilvera - Alfaro	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Gernika - Mutilvera	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Mutilvera - Basconia	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Utebo - Mutilvera	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Mutilvera - Zaragoza B	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTLW

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