Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Náxara		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.95
	2.34	3.31	2.86
	1.77	3.54	3.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.31)	3.42 ↑ (3.07)	3.59 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
47.1%

Draw
27.1%

SD Logroñés
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.1%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náxara's performance.

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Logroñés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náxara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Náxara - SD Logroñés Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Náxara will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Ochoa I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, Campos J. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Náxara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SD Logroñés has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Náxara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Náxara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	SD Logrones	5	0	2	3	4:11	-7	2
17	Naxara	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.04.26	Real Unión de Irun - Náxara	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Náxara - Sestao	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gernika - Náxara	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Náxara - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ejea - Náxara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTWLT
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.04.26	SD Logroñés - Basconia	0:3 ✺
28.03.26	Ejea - SD Logroñés	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	SD Logroñés - Utebo	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Amorebieta - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	SD Logroñés - Mutilvera	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.11.25	SD Logroñés - Náxara	2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
03.11.19	SD Logroñés - Náxara	2:1
21.10.18	SD Logroñés - Náxara	1:3

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