Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Amorebieta		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.98	3.4
	2.19	2.96	3.69
	2.08	3.02	3.63	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.5
	2.12	3.2	3.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.97)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	3.55 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
43.3%

Draw
30.8%

SD Logroñés
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

28.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

SD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Amorebieta - SD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Arzalluz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

Recent performances by Amorebieta have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SD Logroñés is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Amorebieta might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Amorebieta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	SD Logrones	5	0	2	3	4:11	-7	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.03.26	Alfaro - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Amorebieta - Zaragoza B	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Basconia - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Amorebieta - Ejea	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Náxara - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTLWT
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.03.26	SD Logroñés - Mutilvera	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	UD Logroñés - SD Logroñés	5:0 ✺
22.02.26	SD Logroñés - Beasain	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Ebro - SD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	SD Logroñés - Sestao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.09.25	SD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.05.23	SD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1
04.09.22	Amorebieta - SD Logroñés	4:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.05.21	Amorebieta - SD Logroñés	3:1
11.04.21	SD Logroñés - Amorebieta	0:0

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