Match Info

Kakkonen Group C

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Mosedal (Närpiö)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Närpes		JS Hercules

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.60	4.00
	1.49	4.85	4.35
	1.53	5.4	4.27
	1.49	5.46	4.21	Watch
	1.47	5.3	4.2
	1.62	4.97	3.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)	5.1 ↓ (5.2)	4.17 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Närpes
60.1%

Draw
17.9%

JS Hercules
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

17.9%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

18.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Närpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

JS Hercules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JS Hercules than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Närpes - JS Hercules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson Z. (G) 4. Abonde J. 20. Bergvik V. 21. Chidobe O. 17. Etoka L. 13. Ibric N. (C) 7. Kalabic A. 3. Laine H. 23. Pimentel L. 6. Sifet B. 11. Wulff W.	72. Taavettila E. (G) 5. Haapalainen N. 14. Kainu J. 6. Karppelin A. 20. Karsama J. 2. Keskitalo E. 13. Kotilainen E. 9. Montell J. 23. Pahti A. 10. Sarajarvi K. (C) 4. Vaihoja S.
Substitutes
8. Avdili A. 5. Badnjevic R. 31. Norrgard J. (G) 19. Pomba L. 30. Skogman E. 24. Strand C.	3. Henttunen V. 30. Kiviranta V. 29. Riihiaho A. 28. Tervaoja S. 15. Thurling S. 12. Tynjala O. (G) 11. Ukura S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Chidobe O. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Ibric N. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Montell J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Etoka L. 🟨,
60', 3 - 1, Ibric N. ⚽,
67', Bergvik V. ↓, Avdili A. ↑,
68', Pahti A. ↓, Kiviranta V. ↑,
68', Kainu J. ↓, Ukura S. ↑,
68', Karppelin A. ↓, Thurling S. ↑,
70', Sarajarvi K. 🟨,
74', Haapalainen N. ↓, Tervaoja S. ↑,
75', Chidobe O. ↓, Pomba L. ↑,
75', Sifet B. ↓, Skogman E. ↑,
80', Avdili A. 🟨,
80', Sarajarvi K. ↓, Henttunen V. ↑,
82', Thurling S. 🟨,
84', Pimentel L. ↓, Strand C. ↑,
84', Abonde J. ↓, Badnjevic R. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Vaihoja S. ⚽,
90+1', Kotilainen E. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Närpes won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

JS Hercules may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Närpes is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Närpes won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Närpes won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
26.07.26	Närpes - Vaajakoski	2:3 ✺
15.07.26	GBK Kokkola - Närpes	6:2 ✺
12.07.26	Närpes - VPS 2	3:2 ✺
07.07.26	JBK - Närpes	4:2 ✺
04.07.26	Närpes - Jaro 2	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLW
- JS Hercules
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
23.07.26	TP-47 - JS Hercules	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	JS Hercules - JBK	5:3 ✺
11.07.26	Huima Urho - JS Hercules	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	JS Hercules - Vaajakoski	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	GBK Kokkola - JS Hercules	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
23.05.26	JS Hercules - Närpes	1:2
28.09.25	Närpes - JS Hercules	5:0
14.09.25	JS Hercules - Närpes	2:0
18.06.25	JS Hercules - Närpes	2:3
03.05.25	Närpes - JS Hercules	2:3
19.06.24	Närpes - JS Hercules	3:1
13.04.24	JS Hercules - Närpes	0:1

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