Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade des Costières (Nîmes)

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Nîmes		Amiens

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.6
	2.6	3.15	2.7
	2.65	3.05	2.6
	2.86	3.12	2.76
	2.62	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.6	3.28	2.69	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.87)	3.14 ↑ (2.95)	2.65 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
35%

Draw
29.7%

Amiens
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

31.4%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

31.4%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Nîmes - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Amiens will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 20 (12.59%), has project points - 41, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Amiens has the most likely position - 2 (14.11%), has project points - 65, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

This event has quality 33, importance 46, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1.

Nîmes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Amiens is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
08.10.22	Quevilly - Nîmes	3:1 ✺
01.10.22	Nîmes - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Sochaux - Nîmes	3:1 ✺
10.09.22	Nîmes - Bastia	0:0 ✺
02.09.22	Valenciennes - Nîmes	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
08.10.22	Amiens - Dijon	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Rodez - Amiens	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Amiens - Niort	3:0 ✺
10.09.22	Caen - Amiens	3:1 ✺
02.09.22	Amiens - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.02.22	Amiens - Nîmes	3:0
18.09.21	Nîmes - Amiens	3:3
French Ligue 1
18.04.20	Amiens - Nîmes	Canceled
19.10.19	Nîmes - Amiens	1:1
09.03.19	Amiens - Nîmes	2:1
01.12.18	Nîmes - Amiens	3:0
French Ligue 2
03.02.17	Amiens - Nîmes	1:2

Nîmes - Amiens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide