Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Lepaysant B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Amiens		Dijon

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.75
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	2.02	3.1	3.65
	2.11	3.21	4.02
	2.05	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.03	3.3	3.78	Watch
	2.02	3.1	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.26)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	3.71 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
45.5%

Draw
29.3%

Dijon
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.6%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	26.3%	0%

Amiens - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 12).

Amiens has the most likely position - 2 (11.86%), has project points - 63, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Dijon has the most likely position - 11 (7.71%), has project points - 52, has currently - 12, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 37, importance 33, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 1.

Amiens is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dijon has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Amiens will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Amiens won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
01.10.22	Rodez - Amiens	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Amiens - Niort	3:0 ✺
10.09.22	Caen - Amiens	3:1 ✺
02.09.22	Amiens - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
30.08.22	Amiens - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWT
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
01.10.22	Dijon - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Bordeaux - Dijon	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Dijon - Sochaux	0:2 ✺
02.09.22	Bastia - Dijon	1:0 ✺
30.08.22	Dijon - Annecy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.03.22	Amiens - Dijon	1:1
16.10.21	Dijon - Amiens	1:0
French Ligue 1
14.12.19	Amiens - Dijon	1:1
12.04.19	Dijon - Amiens	0:0
06.10.18	Amiens - Dijon	1:0
10.03.18	Dijon - Amiens	1:1
28.11.17	Amiens - Dijon	2:1

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