Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade des Costières (Nîmes)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Nîmes		Laval

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.37	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.4
	3	3.05	2.4
	2.95	3.1	2.33
	3.17	3.1	2.53
	3	3.1	2.35	Watch
	2.97	3.3	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.46)	3.16 ↑ (2.96)	2.39 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
31.3%

Draw
29.6%

Laval
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

31.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

31.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nîmes's form might have worsened.

Laval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laval's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nîmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laval, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.4%	60.9%	21.7%

Nîmes - Laval Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Laval will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 60.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Nîmes has the most likely position - 11 (6.58%), has project points - 51, has currently - 4, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Laval has the most likely position - 15 (7.1%), has project points - 48, has currently - 7, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 31, small importance 21, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1.

Nîmes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Laval is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
20.08.22	Dijon - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Nîmes - Rodez	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	Saint-Étienne - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Nîmes - Caen	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Nîmes - Bastia	0:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTLL
- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
20.08.22	Laval - Metz	3:3 ✺
13.08.22	Annecy - Laval	0:1 ✺
06.08.22	Laval - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
30.07.22	Bastia - Laval	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Laval - Cholet	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.05.17	Laval - Nîmes	1:2
29.07.16	Nîmes - Laval	0:0
06.05.16	Nîmes - Laval	1:1
18.12.15	Laval - Nîmes	3:2
French Coupe de la Ligue
11.08.15	Laval - Nîmes	1:0
French Ligue 2
13.03.15	Laval - Nîmes	0:1
03.10.14	Nîmes - Laval	0:0

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