Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Laval		Metz

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	3.8	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.87
	1.81	4	3.7
	1.87	4.07	3.82
	1.81	4.02	3.78	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3
	1.82	4.16	4.06	Watch
	1.81	4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (3.33)	3.92 ↑ (3.5)	3.59 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laval
49.5%

Draw
24.2%

Metz
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

26.8%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

26.3%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Laval's performance.

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laval that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.1%	2.9%	0%

Laval - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 34 - 97.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Laval: 91.5% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75, 1st Half - Metz (4.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Metz (5.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Laval (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Laval will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Laval (votes: 22 - 91.7%). Metz (votes: 2 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samassa M. (G) 7. Vargas T. 21. Kouassi C. 23. Tavares Y. (C) 2. Pellenard T. 20. Cherni A. 19. Sellouki M. 8. Thomas T. 6. Sanna S. 18. Tchokounte M. 9. Camara M.	29. Bodart A. (G) 39. Kouao K. 8. Traore I. (C) 15. Lo A. 2. Colin M. 21. Stambouli B. 6. Nduquidi J. 10. Diallo P. A. 9. Sane I. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 18. Gueye I.
Substitutes
27. Adeoti J. 39. Goncalves A. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 17. Kokolo W. 4. Roye J. 14. Tell J. 10. Zohi K.	34. Guerti I. 33. Mangondo J. 4. Mboula U. 14. Sabaly C. 61. Sy P. (G) 12. Toure A. 22. Van Den Kerkhof K.
Coaches
Frapolli O.	Le Mignan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Bokele Mputu M. ⚽, Diallo P. A. (A),
23', Bodart A. ↓, Sy P. ↑,
45+1', Vargas T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', Camara M. ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
60', Cherni A. ↓, Kokolo W. ↑,
63', Sane I. ↓, Mangondo J. ↑,
65', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
65', Diallo P. A. ↓, Sabaly C. ↑,
66', Nduquidi J. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Sellouki M. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Vargas T. ⚽, Kokolo W. (A),
75', Lo A. ↓, Guerti I. ↑,
75', Sellouki M. ↓, Roye J. ↑,
82', Thomas T. ↓, Adeoti J. ↑,
82', Vargas T. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
83', Pellenard T. 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Sabaly C. ⚽, Mangondo J. (A),
89', 2 - 3, Gueye I. ⚽, Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Metz is Qualified for Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Laval may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Laval will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Laval: Adilehou M. (Inactive) Bianda W. (Ankle Injury) Doucoure S. (Inactive) Montet E. (Inactive) Ouaneh P. (Injury)

There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury) Deminguet J. (Injury) Sane S. (Injury) Sy P. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Laval won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
02.05.25	Dunkerque - Laval	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Laval - Amiens	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Laval - Rodez	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Bastia - Laval	5:2 ✺
04.04.25	Laval - Grenoble	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWLL
- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
02.05.25	Metz - Rodez	3:3 ✺
26.04.25	Pau - Metz	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Metz - Red Star	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	Martigues - Metz	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Caen - Metz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
31.08.24	Metz - Laval	1:1
01.04.23	Metz - Laval	1:0
20.08.22	Laval - Metz	3:3
02.02.16	Metz - Laval	1:0
11.09.15	Laval - Metz	0:1
16.05.14	Laval - Metz	0:0
02.08.13	Metz - Laval	1:0

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