Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 10 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stade des Costières (Nîmes)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)


	Nîmes		Metz

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.1
	3.55	3.1	2.12
	3.3	3.2	2.11
	3.55	3.25	2.25
	3.4	3.2	2.1
	3.56	3.24	2.12	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.92)	3.21 ↑ (3.13)	2.14 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
27.1%

Draw
29.2%

Metz
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

29.7%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.

Nîmes - Metz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 6).

Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (13.38%), has project points - 42, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Metz has the most likely position - 3 (13%), has project points - 60, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

This event has quality 35, importance 45, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Metz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Metz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
Coupe De France
06.01.23	Grenoble - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Annecy - Nîmes	0:0 ✺
26.12.22	Nîmes - Guingamp	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.12.22	Nîmes - Rodez	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
12.11.22	Niort - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLT
- FC Metz
Coupe De France
07.01.23	Lyon - Metz	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
30.12.22	Grenoble - Metz	0:1 ✺
26.12.22	Metz - Niort	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.12.22	Genk - Metz	1:0 ✺
09.12.22	Metz - Auxerre	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
09.05.21	Metz - Nîmes	0:3
01.11.20	Nîmes - Metz	0:1
07.03.20	Metz - Nîmes	2:1
30.11.19	Nîmes - Metz	1:1
French Ligue 2
22.02.16	Nîmes - Metz	2:1
25.09.15	Metz - Nîmes	1:2
14.02.14	Nîmes - Metz	0:0

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