Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Metz		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	5	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5
	1.72	3.65	4.5
	1.66	3.55	4.9
	1.69	3.77	5.52
	1.65	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.69	3.72	5	Watch
	1.68	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)	3.62 ↑ (3.48)	5.05 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
55.7%

Draw
25.8%

Niort
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

28.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niort than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.3%	7.8%	5.9%

Metz - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: Metz will win (44 of 51 users predict this - 86.27%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.82% – 95.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Metz has the most likely position - 3 (11.44%), has project points - 59, has currently - 21, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (46.82%), has project points - 34, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (82%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 35, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 3.

Recent matches Metz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Niort is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Niort have a series of guest games.

In this match Metz is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Metz won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
Club Friendly
13.12.22	Genk - Metz	1:0 ✺
09.12.22	Metz - Auxerre	1:5 ✺
Coupe De France
19.11.22	Épinal - Metz	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
12.11.22	Paris FC - Metz	1:4 ✺
07.11.22	Metz - Saint-Étienne	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWW
- Chamois Niortais FC
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Angers - Niort	0:1 ✺
07.12.22	Estrela da Amadora - Niort	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.22	Bergerac Périgord - Niort	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
12.11.22	Niort - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	Laval - Niort	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
15.03.19	Niort - Metz	0:3
19.10.18	Metz - Niort	3:0
01.04.16	Metz - Niort	2:0
06.11.15	Niort - Metz	1:1
31.01.14	Niort - Metz	2:0
23.08.13	Metz - Niort	1:1

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