Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 13 December 2022, Tuesday


	Genk		Metz

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	4.75	5
	1.45	4.5	6.2
	1.43	4.7	5.2
	1.48	4.42	5.98
	1.4	4.33	6
	1.44	4.7	5.4	Watch
	1.45	4.8	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.76)	4.6 ↑ (4.04)	5.6 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
63.7%

Draw
19.9%

Metz
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

22.4%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

21.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genk's performance.

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Genk - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Metz will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Neutral location.

Genk in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Metz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Genk will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Genk to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Club Friendly
06.12.22	Genk - Heerenveen	3:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.11.22	Anderlecht - Genk	0:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
09.11.22	Westerlo - Genk	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.11.22	Genk - Charleroi	4:1 ✺
28.10.22	Genk - KV Mechelen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- FC Metz
Club Friendly
09.12.22	Metz - Auxerre	1:5 ✺
Coupe De France
19.11.22	Épinal - Metz	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
12.11.22	Paris FC - Metz	1:4 ✺
07.11.22	Metz - Saint-Étienne	3:2 ✺
Coupe De France
01.11.22	Raon LEtape - Metz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWW

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