The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nîmes 20.2%
Draw 26%
Toulouse 53.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
28.8%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
19.9%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nîmes's form might have worsened.
Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+21%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nîmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-24.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
22.2%
61.1%
Nîmes - Toulouse Predictions
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Nîmes will win (votes: 9 - 16.7%). Toulouse will win (votes: 33 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 48.1% – 74.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
Nîmes has the most likely position - 9 (8.68%), has project points - 52, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (54.07%), has project points - 73, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (79%), has a good chance of win league (54%).
Recent matches Nîmes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Toulouse is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Toulouse is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.
Watch
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