Match Info

FRANCE: COUPE DE FRANCE - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 1 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Magenta Sport
Portugal	Sport TV


	Toulouse		Rodez

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	7.5	Watch
	1.31	4.8	8.5
	1.25	5.75	10.5
	1.32	5.56	10
	1.24	5.25	10
	1.3	5.6	9.7
	1.29	5.4	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)	5.37 ↑ (4.76)	9.29 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
72.6%

Draw
17.4%

Rodez
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

19.6%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

19.1%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Toulouse - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: Toulouse will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Toulouse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Toulouse is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
26.02.23	Reims - Toulouse	3:0 ✺
19.02.23	Toulouse - Olympique Marseille	2:3 ✺
12.02.23	Toulouse - Rennes	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
08.02.23	Toulouse - Reims	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.02.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWL
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
25.02.23	Rodez - Bastia	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Valenciennes - Rodez	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Rodez - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
08.02.23	Auxerre - Rodez	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Rodez - Sochaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.05.22	Rodez - Toulouse	1:0
13.12.21	Toulouse - Rodez	1:1
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Toulouse - Rodez	2:0
French Ligue 2
20.02.21	Rodez - Toulouse	1:0
24.10.20	Toulouse - Rodez	3:0
Club Friendly
08.08.20	Toulouse - Rodez	Canceled
07.07.17	Rodez - Toulouse	1:0

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