Match Info

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Le Mans		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.40	2.20
	3.15	3.40	2.17
	3.12	3.55	2.28
	3.03	3.61	2.22	Watch
	3.05	3.55	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (3.03)	3.5 ↓ (3.61)	2.22 (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
30.7%

Draw
26.9%

Toulouse
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.2%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

26.3%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Le Mans - Toulouse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 13th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Toulouse is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Toulouse: 0.43% Le Mans: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9:9	0	6
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7:9	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Toulouse - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.6%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Guingamp - Le Mans	2:1
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Le Mans - Lorient	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Le Mans - Lens	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Nice - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Rennes - Le Mans	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTTL
- Toulouse FC
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Toulouse - Pau	2:3
French Ligue 1
19.09.26	Toulouse - Le Havre	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Lorient - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
03.09.26	Toulouse - Lille	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Brest - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLT

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