Match Info
Esiliiga - Round 26Date: 3 September 2026, ThursdayLocation: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Nõmme United U21 |
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Elva |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.15 |
3.75 |
2.55 |
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 |
2.02 |
3.90 |
2.60 |
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2.23 |
4.05 |
2.36 |
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2.32 |
4.26 |
2.34 |
 Watch |
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1.97 |
3.75 |
2.55 |
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2.07 |
4.25 |
2.85 |
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2.20 |
3.85 |
2.47 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.71) |
3.97 ↓
(4) |
2.53 ↑
(1.96) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nõmme United U21
42% | Draw
22.6% | Elva
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme United U21's performance.Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme United U21 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Burov K. ⚽, Lindmae R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 87', Kanter J. 🟥,
Preview
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Elva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Nõmme United U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
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Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Elva | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 44 |
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| 9 | Nomme Utd U21 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 44:59 | -15 | 27 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Estonian Esiliiga | | | 16.05.26 | Nõmme United U21 - Elva | 1:0 | | 19.04.26 | Elva - Nõmme United U21 | 1:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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