Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 3

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)


	Nõmme United U21		FC Tallinn

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	7.5
	1.42	4.55	5.35
	1.35	5.51	5.29
	1.37	5.54	5.41	Watch
	1.33	4.8	6
	1.33	5.15	6.43
	1.66	3.8	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.75)	4.87 ↑ (4.2)	5.59 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United U21
65.1%

Draw
18.6%

FC Tallinn
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

21.7%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme United U21's performance.

FC Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Tallinn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Nõmme United U21 - FC Tallinn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Tsurilkin V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Chisala B. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Tsurilkin V. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', 2 - 2, Krasnov I. ⚽,

Preview

FC Tallinn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nõmme United U21 could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Nomme Utd U21	32	11	6	15	50:63	-13	39
8	FC Tallinn	31	9	8	14	41:64	-23	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga
16.03.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme United U21	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Nõmme United U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	4:1 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga B
09.11.25	Tabasalu - Nõmme United U21	0:1 ✺
30.10.25	Nõmme United U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:3 ✺
27.10.25	Kuressaare U21 - Nõmme United U21	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWTW
- FC Tallinn
Estonian Esiliiga
15.03.26	Tallinna Kalev - FC Tallinn	5:1 ✺
07.03.26	FC Tallinn - Elva	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.26	FC Tallinn - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:4 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
22.11.25	FC Tallinn - Jõhvi Phoenix	1:0 ET ✺
15.11.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - FC Tallinn	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWT

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