Match Info
Esiliiga - Round 23Date: 17 August 2026, MondayLocation: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Nõmme United U21 |
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Nõmme Kalju U21 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.43 |
5.00 |
4.50 |
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1.50 |
4.50 |
4.00 |
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1.47 |
5.39 |
4.55 |
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1.40 |
4.80 |
4.40 |
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1.50 |
5.27 |
4.74 |
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1.41 |
5.20 |
4.80 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.62) |
5.03 ↑
(4.4) |
4.5 ↑
(3.84) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nõmme United U21
62.1% | Draw
17.9% | Nõmme Kalju U21
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme United U21's performance.Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-17.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme United U21 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme Kalju U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Salmistu S. ⚽,
- 67', 2 - 0, Vain B. ⚽, Beglarishvili Z. (A),
- 80', Sarapuu K. 🟥,
Preview
Nõmme United U21 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Nõmme Kalju U21 is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Nõmme Kalju U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Nõmme United U21 has had a series of home games. In this match, Nõmme United U21 is the team to beat.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).Including home match between the teams, Nõmme United U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Nomme Utd U21 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 50:63 | -13 | 39 |
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| 9 | Nomme Kalju U21 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 38:79 | -41 | 25 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Estonian Esiliiga | | | 15.06.26 | Nõmme Kalju U21 - Nõmme United U21 | 4:1 | | 24.04.26 | Nõmme United U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21 | 0:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
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✺ - difficult match;
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